{"id":212655,"date":"2026-10-20T16:24:57","date_gmt":"2026-10-20T07:24:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/kr\/news\/jpmorgan-bitcoin-forecast-outperforms-stocks-gold-long-term\/"},"modified":"2026-10-20T16:24:57","modified_gmt":"2026-10-20T07:24:57","slug":"jpmorgan-bitcoin-forecast-outperforms-stocks-gold-long-term","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/kr\/news\/jpmorgan-bitcoin-forecast-outperforms-stocks-gold-long-term\/","title":{"rendered":"JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc758 \ud30c\uaca9 \uc804\ub9dd, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 \uc218\uc775\ub960 10%\ub85c \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\uae08 \uc555\ub3c4"},"content":{"rendered":"

JP\ubaa8\uac74 \uc790\uc0b0\uc6b4\uc6a9(JPMorgan Asset Management)\uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \uccab \ubc88\uc9f8 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 10~15\ub144 \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 \ubcf5\ub9ac \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 10%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud615\uc8fc, \ub9ac\uce20(REITs), \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uae08\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \ubaa8\ub450 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc608\uce21\uc73c\ub85c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc790\uc0b0\uad70 \uc911 \ubaa8\ub378\ub9c1\ub41c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub85d\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>

\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ucd94\uc815\uce58\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c 10\uc6d4 19\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc758 \uc81c31\ud68c \uc5f0\ub840 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc778 ‘2027 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc790\ubcf8 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uc815(2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions)’\uc5d0 \ud3ec\ud568\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 200\uac1c \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uc790\uc0b0\uad70\uc744 \ud3ec\uad04\ud558\uba70, \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \ud22c\uc790 \uacc4\ud68d\uc744 \uc704\ud574 10~15\ub144\uc758 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc9c0\ud3c9\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ub300 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \ubaa8\ub378\ub9c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>

JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc740 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 \ubcf5\ub9ac \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 10%\ub85c \ucc45\uc815\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud615\uc8fc\ub294 7.5%, \ubbf8\uad6d \ubd80\ub3d9\uc0b0 \ud22c\uc790 \uc2e0\ud0c1(REITs)\uc740 8.2%, \uae08\uc740 5.5%\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \uacb0\uacfc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 \ub300\ud615\uc8fc\ubcf4\ub2e4 2.5%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, \ub9ac\uce20\ubcf4\ub2e4 1.8%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, \uae08\ubcf4\ub2e4 4.5%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ub354 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/p>

\"JPMorgan<\/figure>

\ube44\ud2b8\uc640\uc774\uc988(Bitwise)\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0\ud22c\uc790\ucc45\uc784\uc790(CIO) \ub9f7 \ud638\uac74(Matt Hougan)\uc740 \uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \uacf5\uc720\ud558\uba70 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \ucd5c\uace0\uc758 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ub0b4\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc, JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc758 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uac00\uc124\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uce21\uc774\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ubaa8\ub378\ub9c1\ub41c \ucd94\uc815\uce58\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub294 \uc131\uaca9\uc774 \uac15\ud558\ub2e4. \ucc38\uace0\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ud615\uc8fc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 7.7%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>

\uc774\ubc88 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc804\ud1b5 \uae08\uc735\uad8c\uc774 \ub514\uc9c0\ud138 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc758 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub354\ub9ac\uc6c0\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc758 \uae30\uad00 \ud65c\ub3d9 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uad00\ub828 \uc0ac\uc5c5 \ud655\uc7a5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc0ac\ub840\ub2e4.<\/p>

10% \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\ub294 55%\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131<\/h2><\/span>

\ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uadf8\ub9cc\ud07c \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc704\ud5d8 \ucd94\uc815\uce58\ub97c \ub3d9\ubc18\ud55c\ub2e4. JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc740 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uc5f0\uac04 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 55%\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc57d 18%\uc778 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud615\uc8fc\uc640 17.2%\uc778 \uae08\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ucd94\uc815\uce58\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d 3\ubc30 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>

\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ub610\ud55c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uc0b0\uc220 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 20.9%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4. \uc0b0\uc220 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 \uc5f0\uac04 \uacb0\uacfc\uc758 \ub2e8\uc21c \ud3c9\uade0\uc778 \ubc18\uba74, \ubcf5\ub9ac \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \uac78\uce5c \uc774\uc775\uacfc \uc190\uc2e4\uc758 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc9c0\ub0a8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ucd95\uc801\ub418\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc744 \uc774\ud574\ud558\ub294 \ub370\ub294 10%\ub77c\ub294 \uc218\uce58\uac00 \ub354 \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>

\"JPMorgan<\/figure>

\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc790\uc0b0\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ub450 \uce21\uc815\uac12 \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uba74 \uc790\ubcf8 \uae30\ubc18\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \uc774\ub97c \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub354 \ud070 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ub0b4\uc57c \ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5f0 10%\uc758 \uc77c\uc815\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \uac00\uc815\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ud22c\uc790\ub294 10\ub144 \ud6c4 \uc57d 2.59\ubc30, 15\ub144 \ud6c4 \uc57d 4.18\ubc30\ub85c \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\uac8c \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>

\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uacfc \uc2e4\uc81c \uc2e4\ud604\ub418\ub294 \ubcf5\ub9ac \ud6a8\uacfc \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ud574\uc11d\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc18c\ub2e4. \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub85c\ud544\uc740 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uacfc \uad6d\ucc44 \uc2e4\uc9c8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \uad00\uacc4\ub97c \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uac70\uc2dc \uacbd\uc81c \uc870\uac74\uacfc\ub3c4 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub824 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc790\uc0b0 \ubc0f \uacbd\uc7c1 \uac00\uce58 \uc800\uc7a5 \uc218\ub2e8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\uc9d3\ub294\ub2e4.<\/p>

\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \ubc30\ubd84 \ubaa8\ub378\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c\uc678\ub41c \uc774\uc720<\/h2><\/span>

JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uad6c\uc131\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \uc8fc\uc694 \uacf5\ubd84\uc0b0 \ud589\ub82c(covariance matrices)\uc5d0 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc744 \uc544\uc9c1 \ucd94\uac00\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \ub300\uc2e0 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \uacf5\uac1c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc790\uc0b0\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\ub294 \ubcc4\ub3c4\uc758 \uc18c\uaddc\ubaa8 \ud589\ub82c\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>

\uacf5\ubd84\uc0b0 \ud589\ub82c\uc740 \uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 \uc11c\ub85c \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \ucd94\uc815\ud558\uc5ec \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ub9e4\ub2c8\uc800\uac00 \ubd84\uc0b0 \ud22c\uc790 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc640 \uacb0\ud569\ub41c \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4. JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc740 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uae30\uc874 \uc790\uc0b0\uacfc\uc758 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\ud55c \uc0c1\uad00\uad00\uacc4\ub97c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc6cc\ud06c\uc5d0 \ud3ec\ud568\uc2dc\ud0a4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \uc7a5\uc560\ubb3c\ub85c \uaf3d\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>

\uc774\ubc88 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \ubaa8\ub378\ub9c1\ub41c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \uc218\uce58\ud654\ud588\uc744 \ubfd0, \uace0\uc815\ub41c \ubc30\ubd84 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc744 \ucc98\ubc29\ud558\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uad6c\ubd84\uc740 \uae30\uad00\uc758 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uad6c\uc131\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc758\ubbf8\ub97c \uac16\ub294\ub2e4. \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc790\uc0b0\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc5d0\uc11c \ub192\uc740 \uc21c\uc704\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4, \uc704\ud5d8 \uad00\uacc4\uac00 \uc720\ub3d9\uc801\uc77c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uc870\ud569\uc5d0 \ud3ec\ud568\uc2dc\ud0a4\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>

\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae34\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 ETF \uc720\ucd9c\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uc2dc\uae30\ub97c \ud3ec\ud568\ud574 \ubcc0\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uad00\uc758 \ubc30\ubd84 \ud589\ud0dc\uc640\ub3c4 \ub9de\ub2ff\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc790\uae08 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \uc7a5\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \uac83\uc744 \uce21\uc815\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub450 \uc694\uc18c \ubaa8\ub450 \uae30\uad00\uc774 \ub178\ucd9c \uc815\ub3c4\uc640 \uc2e4\ud589 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce5c\ub2e4.<\/p>

\ube44\uad50\ub97c \uc704\ud574 JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc740 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc8fc\uc2dd 60%, \ucc44\uad8c 40%\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 7%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ub300\uccb4 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 30%\ub97c \ud22c\uc790\ud55c \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \uad6c\uc131\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 7.5%\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>

JP\ubaa8\uac74 \uc790\uc0b0\uc6b4\uc6a9\uc740 \uc790\uc0ac\uc758 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI) \uae30\ubc18\uc758 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131 \ud5a5\uc0c1, \uae30\uc5c5 \uc218\uc775\uc131, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ub192\uc740 \ucc44\uad8c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uac00\uc815\uc740 2026\ub144 9\uc6d4 30\uc77c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0ac\uc6a9 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc131\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70 \ub9e4\ub144 \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

JP\ubaa8\uac74 \uc790\uc0b0\uc6b4\uc6a9\uc774 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 10~15\ub144 \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 \ubcf5\ub9ac \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 10%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud615\uc8fc(7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":478,"featured_media":212652,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[],"editors":[49],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-212655","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news","editors-hyunsoo"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nJP\ubaa8\uac74\uc758 \ud30c\uaca9 \uc804\ub9dd, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 \uc218\uc775\ub960 10%\ub85c \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\uae08 \uc555\ub3c4<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"JP\ubaa8\uac74 \uc790\uc0b0\uc6b4\uc6a9\uc774 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 10~15\ub144 \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 \ubcf5\ub9ac \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 10%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud615\uc8fc(7.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/kr\/news\/jpmorgan-bitcoin-forecast-outperforms-stocks-gold-long-term\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc758 \ud30c\uaca9 \uc804\ub9dd, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 \uc218\uc775\ub960 10%\ub85c \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\uae08 \uc555\ub3c4\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"JP\ubaa8\uac74 \uc790\uc0b0\uc6b4\uc6a9\uc774 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 10~15\ub144 \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 \ubcf5\ub9ac \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 10%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d 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