{"id":131035,"date":"2020-04-20T12:00:17","date_gmt":"2020-04-20T11:00:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=131035"},"modified":"2020-04-21T03:22:32","modified_gmt":"2020-04-21T02:22:32","slug":"bitcoin-whale-only-this-sole-fundamental-factor-would-trigger-sustainable-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-whale-only-this-sole-fundamental-factor-would-trigger-sustainable-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin whale: only this sole fundamental factor would trigger sustainable rally"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Bitcoin price has been stagnant since April 2, rejecting the $7,300 to $7,400 resistance area three times in a span of 18 days. Joe007, arguably the biggest whale on Bitfinex, is holding a large short position, and is anticipating BTC to see a near-term correction.<\/p>\n

When asked if a 50 percent price increase from the current price at $7,170 would invalidate the bearish case for Bitcoin, the whale said that not even that would indicate a clear trend reversal.<\/p>\n

So what does Bitcoin need to show to see an actual extended rally?<\/h2>\n

A large portion of the global volume of the Bitcoin market<\/a> is facilitated by futures exchanges that support high leverage of up to 125x. That means, investors can trade BTC with a significant amount of borrowed capital or debt.<\/p>\n

The problem with the high leverage-based market structure of Bitcoin is that when BTC sees a large move to either the upside or downside, it causes a cascade of liquidations<\/a> and triggers a significant price movement in a short period of time.<\/p>\n

In October 2019, the Bitcoin price abruptly increased from around $7,400 to $10,600 within a 48-hour span. While many analysts considered it to be an effect of Chinese President Xi Jinping's unexpected call for blockchain development,<\/a> it is entirely possible that large BTC traders used the so-called “Xi pump” narrative to abrupt spike the price of Bitcoin.<\/p>\n

For that reason, Joe007 explained that for the short-term bearish case of Bitcoin to be disproved, it would have to be supplemented with real volume across the board.<\/p>\n

He said<\/a>:<\/p>\n

“50% organic move up in BTC with decent volume would definite invalidate bearish case. 50%+ [sh*tcoin] pump or yet another leverage-driven run-up on razor-thin volume like Jan-Feb, not so much.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Actual retail volume or buy orders is a crucial indicator that real investors in the market are absorbing the remaining supply of Bitcoin.<\/p>\n

If the Bitcoin price rises substantially without large retail volume and primarily driven by highly leveraged futures, it becomes vulnerable to a 2019-esque fall when price steeply dropped from $10,600 to $6,400.<\/p>\n

\"bitcoin
The Bitcoin price rapidly fell from $10,600 to $6,400 after an abrupt 48-hour short squeeze (Source: Tradingview)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

As such, for Bitcoin to see an extended rally with solid momentum<\/a> in the medium-term, a noticeable increase in retail and institutional volume would be critical.<\/p>\n

Institutions have been buying BTC<\/h2>\n

According to the official Q1 2020 report from Grayscale<\/a>, around 88 percent of capital inflows into their products such as Grayscale Bitcoin Trust came from institutions from January to March of this year.<\/p>\n

The report read<\/a>:<\/p>\n

“88% of inflows this quarter came from institutional investors, the overwhelming majority of which were hedge funds. The mandate and strategic focus of these funds is broadly mixed and includes Multi-Strat, Global Macro, Arbitrage, Long\/Short Equity, Event Driven, and Crypto-focused funds.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The absorption of the BTC supply by institutions could potentially be a factor for sustained medium-term growth of Bitcoin given that institutions typically invest in assets with a long-term strategy.<\/p>\n

In the past several weeks, institutions have also paid substantial premiums to invest in crypto assets, indicating that the demand cryptocurrencies remains high.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Bitcoin price has been stagnant since April 2, rejecting the $7,300 to $7,400 resistance area three times in a span of 18 days. Joe007, arguably the biggest whale on Bitfinex, is holding a large short position, and is anticipating BTC to see a near-term correction. When asked if a 50 percent price increase from […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":187,"featured_media":131074,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[120],"tags":[60786],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin whale: only this sole fundamental factor would trigger sustainable rally<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Joe007, arguably the biggest whale on Bitfinex, is holding a large short Bitcoin position, anticipating BTC to see a near-term correction.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-whale-only-this-sole-fundamental-factor-would-trigger-sustainable-rally\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin whale: only this sole fundamental factor would trigger sustainable rally\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Joe007, arguably the biggest whale on Bitfinex, is holding a large short Bitcoin position, anticipating BTC to see a near-term correction.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-whale-only-this-sole-fundamental-factor-would-trigger-sustainable-rally\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoSlate\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-04-20T11:00:17+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-04-21T02:22:32+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/bitcoin-lookout.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Joseph Young\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Joseph Young\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-whale-only-this-sole-fundamental-factor-would-trigger-sustainable-rally\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-whale-only-this-sole-fundamental-factor-would-trigger-sustainable-rally\/\"},\"author\":{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/joseph-young\/#person\",\"name\":\"Joseph Young\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/joseph-young\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/joseph-young\/\"},\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/joseph-young\/#authorimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/author-joseph-young.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/author-joseph-young.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Joseph Young\"},\"jobTitle\":\"Analyst\",\"description\":\"Joseph Young is a finance and tech journalist. 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