{"id":193145,"date":"2021-06-18T06:00:32","date_gmt":"2021-06-18T05:00:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=193145"},"modified":"2026-10-24T10:54:17","modified_gmt":"2026-10-24T09:54:17","slug":"data-shows-bitcoin-is-relatively-cheap-at-these-prices-best-to-buy-time-for-new-investors","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/data-shows-bitcoin-is-relatively-cheap-at-these-prices-best-to-buy-time-for-new-investors\/","title":{"rendered":"Data shows Bitcoin is relatively &#8216;cheap&#8217; at these prices, &#8220;best to buy&#8221; time for new investors"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/dan_pantera\">Dan Morehead<\/a>, the CEO of <a href=\"https:\/\/panteracapital.com\/\">Pantera<\/a>, believes that Bitcoin is \u201ccheap\u201d when compared to the price trend over the last 11 years according to their June investor report.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Bitcoin is under it's 11-year trend<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s price has had varying deviations from the 11-year \u201cexponential trend\u201d over the past couple of years. In 2018, Bitcoin was trading over 200% above the trend while in 2020, it traded over 50% under the trend. Currently, BTC is trading at 36% under the trend, and the asset has only traded under the trend 20.3% of its history which seems to indicate that now is a good time to buy.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">For new investors, it\u2019s best to buy when the market is well below trend.  Now is one of those times.<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a> has only been this \u201ccheap\u201d relative to its trend 20.3% of the past 11 years.<\/p>\n<p>More perspectives on market timing in our June investor letter:  <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/AOvhFyxBJh\">https:\/\/t.co\/AOvhFyxBJh<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2bsxbw5Iay\">pic.twitter.com\/2bsxbw5Iay<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Dan Morehead (@dan_pantera) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/dan_pantera\/status\/1405237122659799044?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 16, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2><strong>The June investor report also comments on China and YoY growth<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>According to the report, investors should not be overly concerned with China banning crypto. China also \u201cbanned crypto\u201d during the 2013 and 2017 \u201cmid-market cycles\u201d and it has not had a long-term effect on Bitcoin\u2019s value. Morehead also pointed out that China banning companies has not been a good reason to sell for investors.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Investors who sell on China \u201cbans\u201d usually end up bummed\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/OKlBe9yU9q\">pic.twitter.com\/OKlBe9yU9q<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Dan Morehead (@dan_pantera) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/dan_pantera\/status\/1397603253563576327?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 26, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, the report points out that people tend to buy when the market is up and tend to sell when the market is down. This point is illustrated by the histogram which shows \u201cthe percentage of time that the price of bitcoin was in each price bucket.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The buckets are \u201ca logarithmic progression\u201d and \u201ceach bucket is a 33% rally from the lower bucket.&#8221; The percent of time follows the trend with most of the time spent at or near the trend.<\/p>\n<p>However, inflows are highest in the highest bucket and lowest in the smallest bucket. This indicates the phenomenon that investors buy when price growth is high and sell when the price growth is slow. This led Pantera to recommend that investors should \u201cresist the urge to close down positions.\u201d<\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 2284px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panteracapital.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Screen-Shot-2021-06-13-at-8.33.53-PM.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2284\" height=\"1302\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Image: Pantera Capital.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Bitcoin is trading at 281% year-over-year but that is not as pronounced as previous peaks. The four-year-over-year return is also \u201cat the lower end of its historical return\u201d. These numbers along with the 11-year exponential trend lead Pantera leadership to say that the asset is not overvalued.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dan Morehead, the CEO of Pantera, believes that Bitcoin is \u201ccheap\u201d when compared to the price trend over the last 11 years according to their June investor report. Bitcoin is under it&#8217;s 11-year trend Bitcoin\u2019s price has had varying deviations from the 11-year \u201cexponential trend\u201d over the past couple of years. In 2018, Bitcoin was [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":114,"featured_media":185521,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35372,15323,6849],"tags":[60786],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.9 (Yoast SEO v21.9.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Data shows Bitcoin is relatively &#039;cheap&#039; at these prices, &quot;best to buy&quot; time for new investors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pantera CEO believes that Bitcoin is \u201ccheap\u201d when compared to the price trend over the last 11 years according to their June investor report.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/data-shows-bitcoin-is-relatively-cheap-at-these-prices-best-to-buy-time-for-new-investors\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Data shows Bitcoin is relatively &#039;cheap&#039; at these prices, &quot;best to buy&quot; time for new investors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Pantera CEO believes that Bitcoin is \u201ccheap\u201d when compared to the price trend over the last 11 years according to their June investor report.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/data-shows-bitcoin-is-relatively-cheap-at-these-prices-best-to-buy-time-for-new-investors\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoSlate\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-06-18T05:00:32+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-10-24T09:54:17+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/bitcoin-2.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Atul Ajoy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Atul Ajoy\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/data-shows-bitcoin-is-relatively-cheap-at-these-prices-best-to-buy-time-for-new-investors\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/data-shows-bitcoin-is-relatively-cheap-at-these-prices-best-to-buy-time-for-new-investors\/\"},\"author\":{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/atul-ajoy\/#person\",\"name\":\"Atul Ajoy\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/atul-ajoy\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/atul-ajoy\/\"},\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/atul-ajoy\/#authorimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/author-atul-ajoy.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/author-atul-ajoy.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Atul Ajoy\"},\"jobTitle\":\"Contributor\",\"description\":\"Atul is a blockchain entrepreneur and is passionate about decentralization. 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