{"id":412645,"date":"2024-04-16T19:51:17","date_gmt":"2024-04-16T18:51:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=412645"},"modified":"2026-10-17T20:24:18","modified_gmt":"2026-10-17T19:24:18","slug":"exchanges-expected-to-run-out-of-bitcoin-9-months-after-halving-bybit-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/exchanges-expected-to-run-out-of-bitcoin-9-months-after-halving-bybit-report\/","title":{"rendered":"Exchanges expected to run out of Bitcoin 9 months after halving \u2013 Bybit report"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A recent <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bybit.com\/en\/post\/what-you-need-to-know-about-bitcoin-s-pre--and-post-halving-bltd6cfc1fe77b54f58\/\">analysis<\/a> by crypto exchange <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/companies\/bybit\/\">Bybit<\/a> has sounded the alarm on a potential shortage of Bitcoin (<a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/coins\/bitcoin\/\">BTC<\/a>) on exchanges by the end of 2024 if <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/stanchart-exec-predicts-200k-bitcoin-by-2025-end-as-demand-continues-to-outpace-supply\/\">demand remains at similar levels<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The report predicts that reserves could be entirely depleted within the next nine months if current withdrawal rates persist \u2014 currently around 7000 BTC per day. The shortage forecast is closely tied to the anticipated halving event in 2024, which will cut the Bitcoin production on each block by half.<\/p>\n<p>Alex Greene, a senior analyst at Blockchain Insights, said:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;The rapid depletion of Bitcoin reserves is preparing the market for a possible liquidity crisis. As reserves dwindle, the market's ability to absorb large sell orders without impacting the price weakens.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2>ETF demand<\/h2>\n<p>According to Bybit's report,\u00a0institutional investors have <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/insights\/over-5-of-bitcoins-circulating-supply-now-held-in-etps\/\">significantly increased<\/a> their Bitcoin investments following recent US regulatory approvals of <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-etfs\/\">spot Bitcoin ETFs<\/a>, driving up demand against a backdrop of shrinking supply.<\/p>\n<p>Greene noted:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;The surge in institutional interest has stabilized and drastically increased demand for Bitcoin. This increase is likely to exacerbate the shortage and push prices higher after the halving.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/insights\/newborn-nine-hits-new-peak-with-6-billion-in-total-trade-volume\/\">Newborn Nine<\/a> ETFs have been buying BTC at a rate of roughly $500 million per day \u2014 which translates to a withdrawal rate of approximately 7,142 BTC per day from exchange reserves.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, only about 2 million BTC remain in centralized exchange reserves.\u00a0Bybit warned that exchange supplies could vanish by early next year if the demand remains at a high level after the halving reduces the daily mining supply to 450 BTC.<\/p>\n<h2>Miner selling to fall<\/h2>\n<p>The next halving will cut the mining reward from 6.25 to 3.125 bitcoins per block, further limiting the new supply of bitcoins entering the market. This programmed reduction mimics resource scarcity, similar to that of precious metals, and aims to control inflation and increase Bitcoin's value.<\/p>\n<p>Miners will face reduced incentives and higher production costs, which will likely reduce the frequency of Bitcoin being sold immediately after generation. This reduction in miner sales will contribute to the scarcity of Bitcoin on public exchanges, further driving up prices.<\/p>\n<p>Maria Xu, a cryptocurrency market strategist, said:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Miners are adjusting to higher costs and reduced rewards. Many may sell part of their reserves before the halving to sustain operations, potentially increasing supply temporarily before a long-term decline post-halving.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Bybit's analysis suggests that the tightening of Bitcoin supply is a critical and immediate concern with significant implications for Bitcoin\u2019s pricing and investment strategies.<\/p>\n<p>However, the exchange remains optimistic about the coming months and believes that the fall in supply could fuel a &#8220;fear of missing out&#8221; (FOMO) among new investors \u2014 potentially driving Bitcoin's price to unprecedented levels.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A recent analysis by crypto exchange Bybit has sounded the alarm on a potential shortage of Bitcoin (BTC) on exchanges by the end of 2024 if demand remains at similar levels. The report predicts that reserves could be entirely depleted within the next nine months if current withdrawal rates persist \u2014 currently around 7000 BTC [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1250,"featured_media":412649,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,78665,39,77968,2376],"tags":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.9 (Yoast SEO v21.9.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Exchanges expected to run out of Bitcoin 9 months after halving \u2013 Bybit report<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bybit predicts that exchange Bitcoin reserves could be entirely depleted within the next 9 months if current withdrawal rates persist.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/exchanges-expected-to-run-out-of-bitcoin-9-months-after-halving-bybit-report\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Exchanges expected to run out of Bitcoin 9 months after halving \u2013 Bybit report\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bybit predicts that exchange Bitcoin reserves could be entirely depleted within the next 9 months if current withdrawal rates persist.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/exchanges-expected-to-run-out-of-bitcoin-9-months-after-halving-bybit-report\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoSlate\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-04-16T18:51:17+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-10-17T19:24:18+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/bitcoin-halving-1-3.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Assad Jafri\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Assad Jafri\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/exchanges-expected-to-run-out-of-bitcoin-9-months-after-halving-bybit-report\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/exchanges-expected-to-run-out-of-bitcoin-9-months-after-halving-bybit-report\/\"},\"author\":{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/assad-jafri\/#person\",\"name\":\"Assad Jafri\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/assad-jafri\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/assad-jafri\/\"},\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/assad-jafri\/#authorimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/cs-syed.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/cs-syed.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Assad Jafri\"},\"jobTitle\":\"Former Editor & Reporter\",\"description\":\"AJ, a passionate journalist since Yemen's 2011 Arab Spring, has honed his skills worldwide for over a decade. 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