The attempt on his life came days before Trump was set to accept the formal Republican nomination at the Republican National Convention on Monday. This is the first assassination attempt of a U.S. president or major party candidate since Ronald Reagan\u2019s assassination attempt in 1981.<\/p>\n
Trump said on his Truth Social service on Sunday that:<\/p>\n
“In this moment, it is more important than ever that we stand United, and show our True Character as Americans, remaining Strong and Determined, and not allowing Evil to Win.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
President Joe Biden decried the violence saying, \u201cThere\u2019s no place for this kind of violence in America.\u201d<\/p>\n
Trump\u2019s probability of winning increases on betting market<\/h2>\n
While most opinion polls show Trump and Biden to be locked in a close contest, traders on Polymarket think differently.<\/p>\n
Data<\/a> from Polymarket shows that the \u2018Yes\u2019 shares of the contract on whether Trump will win the election rose from $0.60 to $0.70. This means that traders believe Trump has a 70% chance of winning the November elections.<\/p>\n
Presidential Election Winner 2024 Odds (Polymarket)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n Polymarket<\/a> is an Ethereum-based prediction market where bets are programmed into a smart contract on Polygon, a layer 2 scaling solution. The bets are settled in USD Coin (USDC). Simply put, people who bet on \u2018Yes\u2019 for Trump winning the election will receive $1 if Trump actually wins but receive nothing if he loses.<\/p>\n
The chances of Biden winning the election fell from 30% to 17% simultaneously, data on Polymarket shows. Vice President Kamala Harris, on the other hand, has only a 6% chance of winning, according to Polymarket traders.<\/p>\n
Analyst views mirror Polymarket traders<\/h2>\n
Polymarket traders are not the only ones who believe that the assassination attempt will likely increase Trump\u2019s odds of winning the election. Tina Fordham, a geopolitical strategist and founder of Fordham Global Foresight, told<\/a> Reuters:<\/p>\n
“We don't expect there to be an initial reaction in financial markets. If anything, the near-term implication will be the acceleration of the consensus view in markets of a Trump victory.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
Similarly, Nick Twidale, chief market analyst at AFTX Global said:<\/p>\n
“I think it [assassination attempt] probably increases his [Trump\u2019s] chances, and we will probably see some haven flows in the morning.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
Mirroring the views, Rong Ren Goh, portfolio manager at Eastspring Investments, noted:<\/p>\n
“The shooting is likely to bolster Trump's support, and only further augments the positive momentum he has been enjoying following the Presidential debates two weeks ago.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
On the same noted, Nick Ferres, chief investment officer at Vantage Point Asset Management, stated that the failed assassination attempt \u201cprobably reduces uncertainty\u201d with the election \u201clikely to be a landslide\u201d for Trump.<\/p>\n
Ferres also cited historical data to back his claim. He noted that following Reagan\u2019s assassination attempt, the polls showed a surge of support for him.<\/p>\n
Reagan\u2019s approval rating spiked by 7% in the first poll conducted after the attempt, according to statistics recorded by the American Presidency Project at the University of California Santa Barbara. However, the surge was temporary and subsided in the following months.<\/p>\n
Trump-related memecoins surge<\/h2>\n
Several memecoins named after Trump saw their prices spiking after the assassination attempt. For instance, MAGA<\/a> price rose by 30.23% over the past 24 hours, according to CryptoSlate data<\/a>.<\/p>\n
Similarly, Donald Tremp (TREMP) price surged by 67% following the attack, according to CoinMarketCap data<\/a>.<\/p>\n
On the other hand, memecoins named after Biden slipped. For example, BODEN was down 24.70% over the past 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap data<\/a>.<\/p>\n
Elon Musk endorses Trump<\/h2>\n
Trump, formerly a crypto skeptic, has become pro-crypto during his current presidential campaign. He\u2019s vowed to end Biden\u2019s \u201cwar on crypto\u201d<\/a> after re-taking the White House, garnering widespread support from the crypto community, which has poured hundreds of millions of dollars into his campaign.<\/p>\n
Following the attack, billionaire CEO of SpaceX and Tesla, Elon Musk, released his first public endorsement for Trump. In a post<\/a> on X, he noted:<\/p>\n
\u201cI fully endorse President Trump and hope for his rapid recovery.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
Trump was previously said to have held meetings with Trump to discuss crypto policy.<\/p>\n
Justin Sun, the founder of Tron blockchain, sharing Musk\u2019s X post, noted:<\/p>\n
\u201c[Trump] is a better choice for the crypto industry and can ensure fairer treatment.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
Among other notable crypto figures who have endorsed Trump are the Gemini exchange co-founders, Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss<\/a>, and Kraken founder Jesse Powell<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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