{"id":499994,"date":"2025-09-26T03:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-26T02:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=499994"},"modified":"2025-09-25T23:05:18","modified_gmt":"2025-09-25T22:05:18","slug":"citi-raises-stablecoin-market-projection-to-1-9-trillion-by-2030-despite-low-institutional-maturity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/citi-raises-stablecoin-market-projection-to-1-9-trillion-by-2030-despite-low-institutional-maturity\/","title":{"rendered":"Citi raises stablecoin market projection to $1.9 trillion by 2030 despite low institutional maturity"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/companies\/citigroup\/\">Citigroup<\/a> revised its stablecoin market forecast upward to $1.9 trillion by 2030, but warned that institutional adoption remains at just 0.5 on a scale of 0 to 10, according to a report <a href=\"https:\/\/www.citigroup.com\/global\/insights\/stablecoins-2030\">published on Sept. 25<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The banking giant raised its base case projection from $1.6 trillion in its April 2025 forecast, citing accelerated momentum from regulatory clarity and increased integration of the payment network. The bull case scenario now reaches $4 trillion, up from $3.7 trillion.<\/p>\n<p>David Cunningham, head of strategy and partnerships for digital assets at Citi Services, stated:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Stablecoin issuance volume is up 40% this year as executive orders, the GENIUS Act, and major platforms remove friction.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The revised projections are based on three primary drivers. First, partial deposit substitution in the US and overseas accounts for 45% of the base case, with Citi modeling 2.5% of 2030 US bank deposits shifting to stablecoins.<\/p>\n<p>Second, continued crypto market expansion drives 40% of growth through 20% annual issuance increases. Third, 15% comes from banknote substitution, particularly 10% of overseas US currency holdings and 2.5% of domestic banknotes.<\/p>\n<p>The current stablecoin supply reached $292 billion as of Sept. 25, up from $224 billion at the start of the year. Transaction volumes now approach $1 trillion monthly on an adjusted basis, nearly double year-ago levels.<\/p>\n<p>But corporate enthusiasm lags projections. Catherine Gu, head of institutional client solutions at <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/companies\/visa\/\">Visa<\/a>, characterized institutional stablecoin adoption at &#8220;maybe 0.5 on a scale of 0 to 10,&#8221; noting that serious interest across banks and asset managers remains limited.<\/p>\n<p>The report also found that most mainstream corporates stay &#8220;curious rather than enthusiastic&#8221; about stablecoins. Large companies already secure favorable banking terms and faster payments, which reduces the stablecoin's appeal for high-value transactions.<\/p>\n<p>Citi believes bank tokens, including tokenized deposits and deposit tokens, may capture larger transaction volumes than stablecoins by 2030, potentially exceeding $100 trillion annually.<\/p>\n<p>These bank-issued tokenized instruments offer familiar regulatory frameworks and easier integration with existing treasury systems.<\/p>\n<p>The challenges for the <a href=\"http:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/cryptos\/stablecoin\">stablecoin ecosystem<\/a> identified in the report include fragmentation across multiple blockchains, privacy concerns on public networks, and uncertainty regarding accounting treatment.<\/p>\n<p>Without cash equivalent recognition under IAS7, stablecoins remain less attractive to corporate treasurers.<\/p>\n<p>The report concluded that, despite regulatory progress, including the passage of the <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/trump-signs-genius-act-into-law-activating-americas-first-regulatory-framework-for-stablecoins\/\">GENIUS Act<\/a> and the establishment of international frameworks in Hong Kong and the UAE, institutional adoption still requires addressing interoperability, scalability, and trust issues that currently limit enterprise-scale deployment.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Citigroup revised its stablecoin market forecast upward to $1.9 trillion by 2030, but warned that institutional adoption remains at just 0.5 on a scale of 0 to 10, according to a report published on Sept. 25. The banking giant raised its base case projection from $1.6 trillion in its April 2025 forecast, citing accelerated momentum [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1511,"featured_media":500011,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,32631],"tags":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.9 (Yoast SEO v21.9.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Citi raises stablecoin market projection to $1.9 trillion by 2030 despite low institutional maturity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The banking giant raised its base case projection from $1.6 trillion in its April 2025 forecast, citing accelerated momentum from regulatory clarity and increased integration of the payment network.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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