{"id":502312,"date":"2025-10-09T20:08:05","date_gmt":"2025-10-09T19:08:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=502312"},"modified":"2025-10-09T21:06:36","modified_gmt":"2025-10-09T20:06:36","slug":"powells-silence-on-rates-to-fuel-bitcoins-path-toward-150000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/powells-silence-on-rates-to-fuel-bitcoins-path-toward-150000\/","title":{"rendered":"Powell’s silence on rates to fuel Bitcoin’s path toward $150,000"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fed Chair Jerome Powell<\/a> avoided discussing monetary policy during his Oct. 9 Community Bank Conference remarks<\/a>, supporting Bitcoin's<\/a> continued advance toward $150,000.<\/p>\n

Matt Mena, Crypto Research Strategist at 21Shares, stated in a note that this was a “strategic omission” by Powell.<\/p>\n

He characterized the narrow focus as “effectively a green light for risk assets” because the US data blackout mutes the macro shocks that typically pressure Bitcoin and nudges policy expectations dovish.<\/p>\n

With the federal shutdown halting major releases, such as jobs and CPI, traders and the Fed have less hard information to justify new hikes.<\/p>\n

Additionally, Bitcoin captured over $2.5 billion in inflows<\/a> from Oct. 6 through Oct. 8, including Monday's $1.2 billion single-day haul that ranks as the second-largest on record and drove prices to $126,000.<\/p>\n

Flows moderated to $440.7 million on Oct. 8 as the dollar strengthened due to rising Japanese government bond yields<\/a>, likely prompting tactical de-risking.<\/p>\n

Markets now price a 95% probability of a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting, according to CME FedWatch Tool data. December cut odds stand at 81.5% on CME<\/a>.<\/p>\n

On Polymarket<\/a>, the odds of a 25 bps rate cut in December are at 71%<\/a>. Meanwhile, expectations that the US government shutdown would remain in place until at least Oct. 15 reached an all-time high of 88%<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Combined, the odds reflect expectations that extended data delays from the shutdown will prompt the Fed to consider additional easing.<\/p>\n

Mena stated:<\/p>\n

“The market is clearly digesting gains before its next leg higher, and structurally, it's hard to see a top forming with liquidity building underneath. Once BTC breaks above $130,000, I expect it to move quickly toward $150,000 – almost like a magnet.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

He added that the consolidation near all-time highs occurs as both the Nasdaq<\/a> and gold print fresh records almost daily, strengthening the two pillars Bitcoin straddles.<\/p>\n

While gold serves as a hedge against currency debasement, strengthening Bitcoin's narrative as an asset for the “debasement trade,” Nasdaq represents tech proxies for innovation and growth.<\/p>\n

Mena projects Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by year-end, representing a 22% gain from current levels.<\/p>\n

He concluded:<\/p>\n

“Powell may have stayed silent, but liquidity expectations are apparent, and the rest of the market seems to be catching the bid.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fed Chair Jerome Powell avoided discussing monetary policy during his Oct. 9 Community Bank Conference remarks, supporting Bitcoin’s continued advance toward $150,000. Matt Mena, Crypto Research Strategist at 21Shares, stated in a note that this was a “strategic omission” by Powell. 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