{"id":561776,"date":"2026-09-11T14:15:57","date_gmt":"2026-09-11T13:15:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=561776"},"modified":"2026-09-11T13:54:08","modified_gmt":"2026-09-11T12:54:08","slug":"bitcoins-2-24-billion-friday-options-expiry-teased-a-reversal-then-gave-it-back-within-hours","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoins-2-24-billion-friday-options-expiry-teased-a-reversal-then-gave-it-back-within-hours\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin\u2019s $2.24 billion Friday options expiry teased a reversal then fell to $76k again"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin fell into Deribit\u2019s Sept. 11 options expiry, rebounded during the first hour after settlement, then surrendered the move before a two-hour post-expiry window ended.<\/p>\n

The sequence resembled only part of a pattern documented in a recent peer-reviewed study<\/a>. Friday\u2019s price path did not complete the reversal, while the study\u2019s high at-the-money open-interest condition could not be matched with public data and its strongest negative-gamma regime was not corroborated.<\/p>\n\n

\n \n
\n Related Reading<\/span>\n

Bitcoin is trapped between $75,000 and $80,000 ahead of a massive Friday derivatives settlement<\/h3>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/i>\n <\/span>\n <\/a>\n<\/div>\n\n

Across Deribit\u2019s BTC perpetual<\/a>, Coinbase spot<\/a> and Kraken spot<\/a>, Bitcoin declined about 0.16% to 0.18% from 07:00 to 08:00 UTC. It then gained about 0.19% to 0.21% by 09:00.<\/p>\n

The rebound did not hold. From 08:00 to 10:00 UTC, the Deribit perpetual slipped 0.014%, Coinbase fell 0.025% and Kraken lost 0.038%. Bitcoin therefore ended slightly below its expiry-time level on all three venues.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/a><\/p>\n

What Friday\u2019s expiry showed<\/h2>\n

A PerpFinder market-data snapshot<\/a> at 06:40 UTC placed the expiring Bitcoin options at about $2.24 billion, comprising roughly $1.40 billion of calls and $844 million of puts. Deribit\u2019s official delivery price<\/a> was $77,234.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin fell as low as $76,000 into the Europe afternoon trading session before recovering back toward $77,500 as of press time.<\/p>\n

Under Deribit\u2019s settlement rules<\/a>, the options expired at 08:00 UTC. The delivery price is a 30-minute time-weighted average of the exchange\u2019s Bitcoin index from 07:30 to 08:00 UTC, sampled every four seconds.<\/p>\n\n

\n \n
\n Related Reading<\/span>\n

Bitcoin traders hedged $60k and loaded up above $78k leaving the low $70k exposed<\/h3>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/i>\n <\/span>\n <\/a>\n<\/div>\n\n

Those mechanics created a timely comparison with research published in Finance Research Letters. The peer-reviewed study<\/a> examined 1,059 Deribit expiry days from January 2021 through December 2023 using five-minute returns.<\/p>\n

Its authors found a statistically significant tendency for Bitcoin to fall in the hour before expiry and reverse during the following two hours when at-the-money open interest ranked in the sample\u2019s top decile.<\/p>\n

The result was strongest when a reconstructed cumulative gamma proxy was negative. The paper did not infer market-maker positioning from total open interest or a put\/call ratio. Its underlying methodology<\/a> estimated a market-maker proxy from contract trading history and assumptions about which side initiated each trade.<\/p>\n\n

\n \n
\n Related Reading<\/span>\n

Why Bitcoin keeps snapping back to $70k \u2014 and the $13B options “magnet” behind it<\/h3>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/i>\n <\/span>\n <\/a>\n<\/div>\n\n

The pattern, however, does not seem to be playing out in 2026 as three model-based dashboards, Optionly<\/a>, CryptoGamma<\/a> and ByKaranteli<\/a>, did not show a negative cumulative gamma proxy near spot.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

BTC rose across three venues after Deribit settled at 08:00 UTC, then finished below its starting level by 10:00.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1264,"featured_media":561924,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[60840,77968],"tags":[81073,76769,76714,78262,75201],"prediction_market_topic":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin\u2019s $2.24B expiry bounce fades within two hours<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin bounced across three venues after Deribit\u2019s $2.24 billion options expiry, but all three traded below their 08:00 UTC levels by 10:00.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoins-2-24-billion-friday-options-expiry-teased-a-reversal-then-gave-it-back-within-hours\/\" \/>\n<meta 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