{"id":563930,"date":"2026-09-18T17:00:45","date_gmt":"2026-09-18T16:00:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=563930"},"modified":"2026-09-18T17:05:25","modified_gmt":"2026-09-18T16:05:25","slug":"why-bitcoin-is-up-today-the-rally-began-before-weak-us-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/why-bitcoin-is-up-today-the-rally-began-before-weak-us-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Bitcoin hit $80k today hours before bad US data even landed"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin\u2019s rebound above $80,000 on Sept. 18 extended a technology-led relief rally. The move coincided with yen weakness and followed a return to Bitcoin ETF inflows the previous day. The advance was already underway in European trading, hours before weak US economic figures offered a possible argument against further monetary tightening.<\/p>\n

At press time, Bitcoin<\/a> traded at $80,856, up 5.60% over 24 hours. The clearest explanation is a broader relief rally with an improving, but still tentative, demand signal. The timing points to a recovery in risk appetite, although it does not identify one decisive trigger.<\/p>\n

Dow Jones reported<\/a> Bitcoin at $78,309, up 2.3%, in early European trading, linking the rebound to Thursday\u2019s technology-led recovery. The 10:54 a.m. BST dispatch described prices earlier that morning.<\/p>\n

The equity backdrop was already firmer. Reuters reported Nasdaq 100 E-mini futures up 0.56%<\/a> at 9:50 a.m. BST as lower oil prices eased inflation concerns. That supports the interpretation of Bitcoin participating in renewed appetite for risk, rather than reacting solely to an afternoon US announcement.<\/p>\n

By the opening minutes of US stock trading, Bitcoin was above $79,000 with a gain of more than 4%, according to a Yahoo Finance report<\/a> published at 3:13 p.m. BST.<\/p>\n

The Bank of Japan announced<\/a> its decision at 3:54 a.m. BST. A 7\u20132 majority approved a 1.25% overnight call-rate target, up from 1% and in line with expectations. The new setting takes effect Sept. 24.<\/p>\n

The yen\u2019s decline was consistent with relief rather than a shock from unexpectedly aggressive tightening. The BoJ\u2019s daily observations<\/a> showed the dollar buying 156.15\u201317 yen at 1 a.m. BST and 157.48\u201350 yen at 9 a.m. BST. The yen therefore weakened across the announcement window.<\/p>\n

Reuters attributed that weakness<\/a> to the two dissenters and guidance that disappointed traders expecting a more hawkish message. A weaker yen is consistent with relief over pressure on yen-funded positions. That remains a possible supporting mechanism, not evidence of money moving from those positions into Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n

\n \n
\n Related Reading<\/span>\n

Why Japan\u2019s 3.8% bond shock is quietly setting a trap for Bitcoin<\/h3>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/i>\n <\/span>\n <\/a>\n<\/div>\n\n

The US policy backdrop also remained restrictive: Wednesday\u2019s Federal Reserve decision was a quarter-point rate hike, as Dow Jones reported.<\/p>\n

What supported the move, and what remains uncertain<\/h2>\n

US spot Bitcoin ETFs<\/a> recorded net inflows of USD 159.5 million on Sept. 17, according to Farside Investors<\/a>. BlackRock\u2019s IBIT led the inflows, while withdrawals from other funds reduced the overall total.<\/p>\n

That followed net outflows on Sept. 15 and 16. The positive session is evidence that demand through the funds improved before Friday\u2019s advance, but one day does not establish a durable reversal.<\/p>\n

The funds provide a concrete demand signal, but daily totals do not reveal when purchases occurred or establish the source of Friday\u2019s buying.<\/p>\n\n

\n \n
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Bitcoin holds $76,000 after Fed rate hike, but 4 demand signals flash warning<\/h3>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/i>\n <\/span>\n <\/a>\n<\/div>\n\n

At 2 p.m. BST US industrial production was reported unchanged for August, and manufacturing output fell 0.3%. The Federal Reserve release<\/a> confirmed those results, while Trading Economics listed expectations<\/a> for a 0.3% increase in each. At 3 p.m., the leading economic index fell 0.1%, against expectations for a 0.1% rise.<\/p>\n

Weaker activity could reduce the case for additional tightening. But these releases cannot explain an advance already visible that morning. Nor was Friday simply a falling-yields story: Reuters reported the 10-year Treasury yield<\/a> up 2.9 basis points to 4.976% before the US open.<\/p>\n

Forced buying may have amplified the move, but the available measurements do not establish its contribution. CoinGlass<\/a> showed about $230.6 million in total Bitcoin futures liquidations over 24 hours and $56.36 billion in open interest.<\/p>\n

The liquidation total includes both sides of the market. A short squeeze would involve bearish positions being forcibly closed as prices rise. The available total, without a short-side breakdown or matching funding and open-interest changes, cannot show how much of Friday\u2019s advance came from that process.<\/p>\n

Thursday\u2019s SEC tokenized-stock exemption<\/a> also offered broader regulatory context. Its conditional relief concerns certain stock-trading venues and liquidity providers, rather than a Bitcoin-specific approval.<\/p>\n\n

\n \n
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For the rally\u2019s durability, repeated ETF inflows would be a clearer demand signal than a one-day rebound, while directional liquidation data could show whether forced buying is playing a substantial role. Friday\u2019s sequence supports a relief rally; it leaves the balance between fresh demand and short covering unresolved.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The September 18 advance accompanied a tech rebound and yen weakness, while prior-session ETF inflows offered a tentative demand signal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1264,"featured_media":563947,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[120,78665,77968,77911,79312],"tags":[81073,76769,76718,75195],"prediction_market_topic":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nWhy Bitcoin hit $80k today hours before bad US data even landed<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The September 18 advance accompanied a tech rebound and yen weakness, while prior-session ETF inflows offered a tentative demand signal.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/why-bitcoin-is-up-today-the-rally-began-before-weak-us-data\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" 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