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Bitcoin has completed its local bearish trend and is ready for long-term growth to $300,000 by 2029. That is the conclusion reached by Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity Investments, in his latest technical report. Timmer backs up this ambitious target with pure mathematics: holding critical support at $60,000 fully confirms the strength of the Power Law model and opens the way to new all-time highs.
Institutional investors are focused on the asset's major reversal pattern on the weekly chart. After reaching an all-time high of $126,251 in 2025, Bitcoin lost more than half its value during the correction. However, local lows in the $57,742–$60,033 range formed a classic double bottom.
Fidelity urges investors not to focus on short-term crashes. It has a logarithmic ruler that predicts growth by multiples
Timmer calls the $60,000 mark a critical "line in the sand." The fact that the market defended this level signals that selling pressure is fading. Weekly stochastic indicators (Fast %D and Slow %D) have already moved out of oversold territory, confirming a resumption of large-scale buying supported by long-term mathematical trends.
The market's short-term trigger is a test of resistance in the $82,000–$86,000 range. The asset is now trading close to the pattern's neckline at $82,266.
Analysts estimate that a decisive move above $82,500 would trigger a technical push toward the psychological $100,000 mark. For Wall Street, this breakout would signal the end of the capital accumulation phase.
Timmer's forecast is based on the Power Law model, which evaluates Bitcoin using logarithmic linear progression and a 52-week Z-score of its ratio to gold. The model shows that current price fluctuations are not random noise but regular cycles. Even previous deep drawdowns of 56% and 63% fit entirely within the framework of this trajectory.
Fidelity nevertheless traditionally reminds investors of the risks: the asset remains highly volatile, and past performance does not guarantee future returns. Bitcoin's aggressive nature calls for strict diversification, but Timmer's macro model makes one thing clear: Bitcoin's trend follows strict mathematical principles, not the panic of retail investors.
Arman Shirinyan
Dan Burgin
