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Five Signs That Say Altcoin Season Hasn’t Even Started Yet

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
Last Updated: June 11, 2024 2:13 pm
3 mins read

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Bitcoin has been trading at $50,000 and higher, reviving interest surrounding the cryptocurrency market and especially the altcoin sector. Ethereum and other top coins have all set new price records just as Bitcoin did, but have since started to correct.

There are at least five technical signs, however, that suggest that this isn’t a top in altcoins, but instead is a bullish retest and a prelude of the most powerful altcoin season yet.

Crypto Market Crossroads: Bitcoin Dominance Ready To Dive, Alts To Soar

Before even looking at the altcoin market cap at all, Bitcoin dominance tells a lot of the story ahead.

BTC dominance is a metric that weighs the top cryptocurrency against the share of the rest of the market cap held by altcoins like Ethereum and Tether.

btc.d bearish retest

The struggle for roughly 63% dominance has been a hard fought battle | Source: CRYPTOCAP-BTC.D on TradingView.com

Bitcoin and altcoins have fought long and hard in a battle for two-thirds dominance overall.

Related Reading | Altcoin Season Is Here: “Buy Crypto” Surpases Bitcoin Searches On Google

Altcoins got the upper hand in 2018 as Bitcoin began to correct, but since then the leading cryptocurrency by market cap has enjoyed two-thirds or above, but is now at risk of losing the key level.

btc.d ichimoku

Dominance fell through the cloud and has been rejected since | Source: CRYPTOCAP-BTC.D on TradingView.com

On the same weekly timeframe, the Ichimoku indicator shows a rejection from the cloud (pictured above) that coincides with losing the 63% level.

There was a similar rejection at the middle-BB on the Bollinger Bands (pictured below), after several attempts, suggesting at least a drop to the lower band is likely in the cards.

bollinger bands btc.d

Bitcoin dominance was also rejected from the mid-Bollinger Band | Source: CRYPTOCAP-BTC.D on TradingView.com

Powerful Signs That Altcoin Season Is Only Just Getting Started

The most telling sign that altcoin season hasn’t even started yet, can be seen on the Average Directional Index. The ADX is a trend strength measuring tool that also includes two Directional Movement Index lines.

The ADX itself has dropped below a reading of 20, suggesting the prevailing trend has completed, and a new trend is brewing.

btc.d adx

The ADX is back below 20 while bears have back taken control | Source: CRYPTOCAP-BTC.D on TradingView.com

At the same time, the red DMI has completed a bearish crossover, signaling that sellers are now in control – or in this case, altcoins will get the upper hand against Bitcoin.

Related Reading | Altcoin Market Cap On The Verge Of Life-Changing Breakout

Moving onto the total altcoin market cap itself sans BTC, the technicals depict a bullish retest that could lead to one of the most shocking phases of wealth generation ever witnessed.

altcoin season total 2 btc.d

The altcoin market cap has only just broken out, and has a lot more to go | Source: CRYPTOCAP-TOTAL2 on TradingView.com

Coinciding with the bullish retest and breakout from resistance, the Bollinger Bands have widened to an extreme not seen since the last bull market.

During the past bull cycle for altcoins, there were not one, but three total bullish impulses that sent the Bollinger Bands in a spiral. The volatility measuring indicator this time around only shows just one bullish phase, potentially suggesting that there’s so much more to go before the current rally in crypto is over.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com
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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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