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Hyperliquid's strong September run has hit a wall. HYPE has dropped to $86.07 after peaking near $98, and the daily chart shows the price slipping below the short-term moving average that had guided the entire rally since August.
The Threshold That Gave Way
For weeks, the green short-term average acted as a trend guardrail, catching every pullback along the way. Buyers defended it in early September when HYPE bounced from roughly $75, and again during the sharp move that took the price toward $98. That dynamic has now changed. The latest daily candles closed below the line, and the price is hovering right at it, unable to reclaim it as support.
The damage is visible in the structure. After the local top near $98, HYPE printed a series of lower highs and a long red candle that erased several days of gains in a single session. A break of a level that held through an entire uptrend is typically the first sign that momentum is shifting from buyers to sellers.
The RSI has dropped from the upper range to about 50, which confirms that bullish momentum has faded, although the reading is neutral rather than oversold.
The August breakout was backed by heavy participation, but volume has been shrinking through September, and the recent selloff came with only moderate activity. That means the decline is not yet a panic, but the rally is also no longer attracting fresh demand.
Where the Next Support Sits
The bigger picture remains constructive. All longer-term averages are rising and stacked in bullish order. The next meaningful support zone is around $81 to $82, where the blue and cyan averages converge. Below that, the orange average near $73 and the long-term black line around $61 mark deeper cushions if selling accelerates.
On the upside, bulls need to recapture the $88 to $90 area to invalidate the breakdown. Failing that, the $75 to $78 range, the September low, becomes the next logical test.
The trend is not broken, but the rules have changed. HYPE lost the level that defined its bull run, and until it climbs back above it, the path of least resistance points toward a deeper pullback toward the rising averages below.
Arman Shirinyan
Dan Burgin
