
CLARITY Act chances sink below 20% as Senate’s path to 60 votes narrows
The crypto bill had climbed to 34% odds within the past day, but wavering Republicans and a Democratic counteroffer have sharply reversed expectations.
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A House vote on Sept. 16 will test whether the 78 Democrats who backed crypto market rules are willing to extend that support to a federal Bitcoin reserve.

Banking groups, Democratic senators and developer advocates are attacking the concessions Republicans hoped would unlock 60 votes.

Republicans say the bill now includes 126 Democratic demands, with new concessions on Trump ethics, stablecoin rewards, developer protections and exchange conflicts.

The president accepted most of a bipartisan crypto ethics proposal as Republicans moved to break the bill’s months-long Senate impasse.

Republicans are asking lawmakers to preserve the amendment process while major disputes over ethics, stablecoins and prediction markets remain open.

The crypto industry is unleashing national ads, but Republican senators say the bill could still fail over ethics restrictions tied to Trump’s crypto interests.



