What price will Solana hit in October?
Polymarket

What price will Solana hit in October?

SOL $101.60 -0.33%
—Days —Hrs —Mins

Current Odds

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200
$24.39K Vol.
0.2%
190
$21.29K Vol.
0.3%
180
$4.54K Vol.
0.4%
170
$15.2K Vol.
0.4%
160
$22.24K Vol.
0.5%
13 more outcomes Listed by target price, highest first

Odds Summary

Above 110 leads at 31% reported probability on Polymarket.

Volume$545.04K Liquidity$1.02M Open Interest$283.76K

Polymarket · Last synced

Market Analysis

Solana’s October market tracks price touches in both directions

Solana symbol centered with rising market price bars, representing Solana price expectations and trading activity.

Separate threshold contracts measure whether SOL reaches a level during October, rather than where it finishes the month.

The October 2026 Solana market covers separate upward and downward price thresholds. A rise through an upper threshold and a later fall through a lower one can both occur during the same month. These outcomes therefore should not be read as competing forecasts of a single closing price.

Reading the threshold ladder

In the imported snapshot, the $130 upward threshold and $110 downward threshold were both priced near an even chance. More distant levels carried lower quoted probabilities. This describes how traders priced the individual barriers; it does not establish a trading range or predict which level will be reached first.

Adjacent thresholds are related. A move that reaches a higher upward level may also cross lower upward levels, while a decline may cross several downward levels. Adding their probabilities does not produce a meaningful total for the event.

Settlement and timing

The market concerns October 2026 and displays a close time of November 1 at 04:00 UTC. The source listing specifies Binance SOL/USDT one-minute candles for resolution. Each threshold’s direction and detailed rules matter; a price shown on another exchange or outside the measurement window is not automatically sufficient.

Limits of the snapshot

The quoted probabilities do not reveal a consensus about ETF decisions, network upgrades or institutional demand. Those explanations require separate evidence. The market records expectations about price touches, while the qualifying price data determine settlement.

Polymarket market and full rules

What Could Move the Odds?

Market-Implied Thesis

The leading 34¢ indication for ↑110 implies the market’s central claim is that SOL reaches $110 during October.

Because this is a threshold-style “hit” question, it signals an intramonth touch rather than necessarily an October closing price.

Mixed signal 62% CatalystRemaining October price observations RiskThreshold wording may not imply a close

What Could Reprice It

Price action through the remaining October window is the direct repricing catalyst, as a touch of $110 would bear on the listed threshold.

The Nov. 1, 2026 close means moves toward listed levels can shift pricing before the market closes, even without a named external event.

Mixed signal 58% CatalystOctober price moves before Nov. 1 close RiskNo separate event is specified

Where the Market May Be Weak

Settlement language does not identify a price source, observation method, or how the linked binary markets resolve a “hit.”.

This leaves uncertainty over whether a transient print qualifies and limits direct comparison between the upward and downward thresholds.

Rules risk 30% CatalystClarification or application of market rules RiskResolution mechanics are underspecified

Counter-Signal

The ↓90 indication remains sizable and gained 3 points over 24 hours, showing a material path in which SOL never reaches $110.

Its 17¢ reading does not necessarily preclude a later $110 touch, but it highlights downside movement as the clearest challenge to the $110 thesis.

Mixed signal 61% CatalystFurther downside price movement RiskThreshold outcomes may overlap

Market Details

Resolution criteria
What price will Solana hit in October?
Platform
Category
Crypto › Solana
Scheduled deadline
November 1, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
Market rules summary
Multi-timeframe Polymarket event. Each listed timeframe is represented by its Yes price on the underlying binary market. View full rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current What price will Solana hit in October odds?

Polymarket reports What price will Solana hit in October odds with ↑ 110 at 31%, ↓ 90 at 18%, ↑ 120 at 8.5%, and ↑ 130 at 3.3%. These probabilities are market-implied and can change as liquidity and trading activity update. The latest market snapshot includes $545.04K volume, $1.02M liquidity, and $283.76K open interest. CryptoSlate last synced this market data at Oct 25, 2026, 07:37 UTC.

What could move the What price will Solana hit in October prediction market odds?

The leading 34¢ indication for ↑110 implies the market’s central claim is that SOL reaches $110 during October. Because this is a threshold-style “hit” question, it signals an intramonth touch rather than necessarily an October closing price. Catalysts to watch include Remaining October price observations, October price moves before Nov. 1 close, and Clarification or application of market rules.

How does the What price will Solana hit in October prediction market resolve?

What price will Solana hit in October? Multi-timeframe Polymarket event. Each listed timeframe is represented by its Yes price on the underlying binary market.

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