Prediction Market Basics
What Are Prediction Markets and How Do They Work?
Prediction markets turn questions about future events into tradable contracts whose prices change as participants buy and sell.
Prediction Markets Guides
Understand prediction markets, event contracts, pricing, forecasting limits, trading risks, platform rules and tax recordkeeping.
Latest guides
10 guides
Prediction Market Rules & Taxes
Prediction Market Taxes: Records, Gains, and Reporting
Prediction market tax treatment can vary by instrument, platform, jurisdiction and taxpayer, so accurate transaction records come before selecting a...
Prediction Market Analysis
Prediction Market Arbitrage: How Price Gaps Work
Prediction market arbitrage seeks a locked payout from inconsistent prices, but only after contract equivalence, full execution and every cost...
Prediction Market Basics
Prediction Markets vs. Sports Betting: Key Differences
Prediction markets and sportsbooks can cover the same event, but their pricing, counterparties, exits, costs and rulebooks can work differently.
Prediction Market Rules & Taxes
Are Prediction Markets Legal? What US Users Should Know
Prediction-market legality depends on the platform, contract, jurisdiction, user and current regulatory status instead of the product label alone.
Prediction Market Basics
What Are Decentralized Prediction Markets and How Do They Work?
Decentralized prediction markets use wallets, smart contracts, crypto collateral and oracle systems to trade and settle event outcomes.
Prediction Market Analysis
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? Evidence and Limits
Prediction-market accuracy is the degree to which market-implied probabilities match outcomes across a defined set of...
Prediction Market Rules & Taxes
Prediction Market Insider Trading: What Is Illegal?
Prediction market insider trading is not a single legal category. An informational edge is not automatically...
Prediction Market Analysis
Prediction Market Odds: Price, Probability, and Payouts
Prediction market odds begin with a contract price. The executable implied probability depends on the bid or ask available for...
Prediction Market Analysis
Prediction Market APIs: Live and Historical Data
A prediction market API is a software interface that exposes event, market, outcome, price, trade, and...
