Satoshi’s identity proven in 2026? No 97.5%
Yes 2.6%
Prediction Markets Overview
Track prediction market odds across crypto, politics, sports, and more.
Total Active Markets 139
Total Volume $4.82B
Open Interest $228.31M
Total Liquidity $361.79M
Added This Week 22
Closing This Week 8
Satoshi’s identity proven in 2026? 
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations Lana Nusseibeh 28%
Rafael Grossi 14.1%
Rebeca Grynspan 9.5%
+6 more outcomes
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date December 31, 2027 52.5%
March 31, 2027 26.5%
December 31 13.5%
+1 more outcome
Presidential Election Winner 2028 JD Vance 20.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12.9%
Jon Ossoff 9.8%
+51 more outcomes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…? Yes 83.5%
No 16.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? December 31 8.5%
October 31 0.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? December 31 4.3%
October 31 0.5%
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner The Odyssey 45.5%
You Can See Everything 20.5%
La Bola Negra 17.5%
+24 more outcomes
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Democrats Sweep 68.5%
R Senate, D House 23.5%
Republicans Sweep 7.5%
+2 more outcomes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 83.5%
Yes 16.5%
OpenAI IPO date June 30, 2027 33.5%
March 31, 2027 21.5%
December 31, 2026 3.6%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? SpaceX 69%
Anthropic 22.9%
OpenAI 0.5%
+9 more outcomes
